
Syria has a small nuclear program that can be
described, at best, as the beginning of a nuclear fuel cycle program. Most of
the program has revolved around research and the production of isotopes for use
in medical and agricultural applications. There have been rumors, mainly based
on statements made by high-level Syrian officials and would-be arms suppliers,
that the country considered pursuing nuclear weapons in the early 1980s. Despite
these claims, Syria did not seem to be initiating a nuclear weapon program in
that decade. But new questions surround Israel's September 2007 strike against a
Syrian facility near the Euphrates River in the Northeastern desert region of
Dayr-az-zawr. Based on satellite imagery and still photographs of the
installation, U. S. and Israeli intelligence sources assert that the target was
a nuclear reactor developed with North Korean assistance, intended to produce
plutonium for weapons use. [1] [2] However, the Syrian government has
continually denied these allegations, and while International Atomic Energy
Agency (IAEA) inspectors have been allowed to visit the site their findings so
far have been inconclusive. [3] [4] [5]
Assistance to Syria has come from various
countries including Belgium,China,
Germany, the former Soviet Union, and according to some reports North Korea.
Additionally, over the years, Syria has solicited proposals from other countries
including Argentina, India,
and Italy. The IAEA has assisted Syria
on numerous projects including uranium exploration, uranium extraction from
phosphoric acid, isotope production, construction of a cyclotron
facility, development of nuclear research
laboratories, and preparation for a nuclear power program.
History
Syria signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty (NPT) in 1969. The Middle Eastern nation took this step to obtain the
political and technical benefits that come from signing the treaty. In the
aftermath of its losses in the Six Day War, Syria felt that it needed broader
support from the international community to guard against Israeli acts of
aggression. Additionally, the government wanted to take advantage of technical
assistance from the IAEA and its member states that is only available to
signatories of the NPT.
In 1979, Syria established its Atomic Energy
Commission (AECS) largely to manage IAEA assistance programs and to plan for the
eventual development of a nuclear power program. In 1983, the IAEA assisted
Syria in establishing an analytical laboratory that was equipped with systems
for atomic spectrometry and various other experiments. Five Syrian scientists
were trained in Hungary, the United States, Yugoslavia, and Austria as part of
the project. Also in 1983, Syrian and Soviet scientists carried out a joint
study on the construction of a nuclear power reactor in Syria. This study was
part of an IAEA cooperative assistance project to help Syria understand the
requirements for developing and maintaining a nuclear program.
There have been rumors that Syria might be
interested in obtaining nuclear weapons to deter the Israeli nuclear threat. In
fact, in 1986, when questioned on his opinion of the Israeli nuclear arsenal,
Syrian Chief of Staff, General Hihmet Al-Siabi suggested that Syria would strive
to achieve strategic equality with Israel including nuclear parity. [6]
In the late 1980s and early 1990s, Syria
began exploring its potential for indigenous nuclear resources. Upon completion
of several uranium exploration projects, Syria began experiments to extract
uranium from its vast phosphoric rock reserves. In 1986, the IAEA and AECS
constructed a micro-plant at the General Phosphate Company Plant in Homs to
study the process of uranium extraction from phosphoric acid. The plant would be
the forerunner to a commercial plant if Syria obtained a nuclear power reactor
and needed fresh fuel regularly. In 1996, Syria began developing a plant to
recover uranium from tri-superphosphates using a similar technology. That
facility came online in 2001.
In 1991, China started constructing Syria's
first research reactor, a 30KW miniature neutron source reactor (MNSR) to be
located at the Der Al-Hadjar Nuclear Research Center near Damascus. China
provided Syria with approximately 980 grams of 89% enriched U235 to operate the
reactor. That facility went critical in 1996 and became fully operational in
1998. The MNSR gives Syria the capability to produce neutrons for nuclear
analysis, isotopes for industrial applications, and radioisotopes for training
purposes, but is unsuitable for weapons production.
In 1997, the IAEA approved a technical
assistance project to provide Syria with a cyclotron facility. It was to be
built at the Nuclear Medicine Centre in Damascus. The Cyclon-30 cyclotron,
provided by Belgium's Ion Beam Applications, is the same model as the cyclotron
in Iran, where it is suspected of being used to enrich uranium. The facility's
status remains unknown.
In more recent years, Syria has continued to
develop its nuclear research facilities to help manage its nuclear material. The
government has also entered into new cooperation agreements with several
countries, most notably Russia. In 1998, the intergovernmental Russia-Syrian
Commission on Trade and Scientific and Technical Cooperation signed of a
memorandum of cooperation between Russia's Ministry of Atomic Energy and the
AECS. Part of this accord was an agreement to construct a nuclear research
center that would include a 25MW research reactor.
Current Status
While Syria's nuclear program is not known to
possess reprocessing or enrichment technologies, Syria does operate a number of
research facilities, including the Der Al-Hadjar Nuclear Research Center near
Damascus, a nuclear analysis laboratory, and the Scientific Research Institute
(SRI) in Damascus. It is alleged that the SRI took in Iraqi scientists prior to
the recent Gulf War. In December 2002, an Italian newspaper cited an Iraqi
officer who asserted that Syria had allowed Iraq to store its weapons of mass
destruction in Syrian research centers. These allegations were never confirmed.
In 2003, Russian and Syrian officials
continued their negotiations for the construction of a nuclear facility that
would include a nuclear power plant and a desalination plant. Open sources
reported that the Russian Minister of Atomic Energy confirmed that discussions
over supplying Syria with a power plant and a desalination plant were taking
place. However, the Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman refuted the Minatom
statement and denied that any discussion had taken place. Consequently, Syria's
quest for obtaining a nuclear power plant remains unclear.
In 2004, Syria responded to U.S. and U.K.
pressure to relinquish its WMD by declaring that it is prepared to do so when
Israel would do the same. The United States imposed sanctions in May, citing
Syria's pursuit of WMD programs as one of the reasons for this step. A Syria-EU
trade accord hurdle was resolved in October with agreement on a WMD clause,
subject to final approval by EU foreign ministers. IAEA chief ElBaradei has
asserted that there is no reason to believe Syria was a client of A.Q. Khan's
nuclear proliferation network.
The head of the Iraq Survey Group Charles
Duelfer after having exhausted his search for WMD in Iraq stated that there was
no evidence that WMD were transferred to Syria before the U.S. invasion of Iraq.
In early 2007, Syria announced possible plans
to pursue nuclear energy in order to meet increased energy demand in the
country. Syrian officials have stated that nuclear energy could provide a
feasible energy alternative in light of oil depletion concerns and a ten percent
annual increase in electricity use. [7] However, Syrian President Bashar
al-Assad stresses that Syria is not seeking to become a nuclear power, and
argues that Damascus' ultimate aim is a nuclear-free Middle East. [8]
On September 7, 2007 Israeli aircraft invaded
Syrian airspace, to attack what was at that time an unknown
military facility near the Euphrates
river in the Northeastern region of Dayr-az-Zwar. [9] The strike was subject to
speculation in the media, as Israeli military authorities did not comment on the
incident, while Syria claimed the air raid had struck an unused military
building. [10] [11] Later that year, leaks from the American intelligence
community and satellite imagery led to reports suggesting that the installation
had been a gas-graphite reactor developed with North Korean assistance to
produce plutonium for weapons use. [12] Seven months later, in April 2008,
senior American intelligence officials presented a detailed briefing to
lawmakers and journalists on the alleged reactor. The briefing included
satellite images and still photographs of the facility near the town of
Al-Kibar, concluding that the installation destroyed had indeed been a
gas-graphite reactor close to reaching operational capability before the Israeli
Air Force destroyed it. [13] While the conclusions appear consistent with the
materials presented in the briefing there remain a number of unanswered
questions, especially vis-à-vis the source of the reactor’s fuel
and the location of a reprocessing facility. Syrian officials continue to reject
the allegations and as of October 2008, the international community awaits a
final report on the results of the IAEA’s June 2008 inspection of the
site. [14] [15] [16]
Sources:
[1] "Smoking gun images of Syrian nuke reactor?," CBS News, 24 April 2008,
www.cbsnews.com.
[2] "Statement by the Press Secretary," The White House Office of the Press
Secretary, 24 April 2008, www.whitehouse.gov.
[3] "Syria rejects U.S. allegations on existence of nuclear activities,"Chinaview,
25 April 2008, news.xinhuanet.com.
[4]
Ephraim Asculai, "Inspecting Syria's Al-Kibar site: A technical note," The
Institute for Science and International Security, 12 May 2008.
[5] "UN
watchdog probe of Syria inconclusive," Reuters, 22 September 2008.
[6] May Gordon, "U.S.
Exported Software, Parts To Iran, Syria, Records Show," San Francisco
Chronicle, 28 August 1991, p.A2.
[7] "Syria:
Nuclear Energy Alternative Proposed Amidst Concerns of Oil Depletion, Increased
Electrical Consumption," OSC Report, In Open Source Center Document
GMP20070112388001, 12 January 2007.
[8] Daiji
Sadamori, "Assad: Syria Not Seeking to be Nuclear State," Asahi
Shimbun, 27 October 2006.
[9] Tim
Butcher, "Syria accuses Israeli warplanes of entering territory," The
Telegraph, 9 September 2007.
[10] Glenn
Kessler, "N. Korea, Syria may be at work on nuclear facility," The
Washington Post, 13 September
2007.
[11] Barak
Ravid, Avi Issacharoff, and Amos Harel, "Syria: There are no N. Korea-Syria
nuclear facilities whatsoever," Haaretz, 16 September 2007.
[12] David
Albright and Paul Brannan, "Suspect reactor construction site in eastern Syria:
The site of the September 6 Israeli raid?," The Institute for Science
and International Security, 23 October 2007.
[13] "Smoking
gun images of Syrian nuke reactor?," CBS News, 24 April 2008,
www.cbsnews.com.
[14]
"Syria rejects U.S. allegations on existence of nuclear
activities,"Chinaview, 25 April 2008,
news.xinhuanet.com.
[15]
Ephraim Asculai, "Inspecting Syria's Al-Kibar site: A technical
note," The Institute for Science and International Security, 12
May 2008.
[16] "UN watchdog probe of Syria inconclusive,"
Reuters, 22 September 2008.
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Updated October 2008 |
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